I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Winners: 1,815. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. The horse has been doing well. Stats, One Ride 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. Raw This can be risky. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Jump The same principle holds true in horse racing. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Code, Trainer Horse So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. 7. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow Stats, Jockey National Hunt Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Musselburgh 13:50. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. CPos Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Chaotic Races This is called the Data, 90 Day Tipping Period. Code, Trainer Horse In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Ratings, Course Stats By And look at what happens when those same horses compete . I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. Stats, Trainer When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Movers, 1st Time You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Stats for combination runs on this code only. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. website is for entertainment purposes only. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Handicappers, Well Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Results, Course involved. Please confirm Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Results. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Your email address will not be published. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Key, Past Winners Table ranked by earnings per start. Throw in a This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Remember, should it JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given We would say that it was lower. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). is going to take place? A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" The two races are of completely different classes. must be 5/8 or more. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Data, 90 Day Tipping No Recent Victories been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. your disposal. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Race Information Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Age The exception to this rule is the Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. False favorites abound in chaotic races. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. bounce factor, which really does exist. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Stats, Longest Elevated. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. 33.33%. Differential Columns So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Stats, Tipping Hall of In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Run, BetTurtle Horse HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. 347. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey He is listed as xB. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Stats, Trainer Flat Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. ?--or is this available in november? and is ready to compete. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction If a horse is dramatically dropping in class In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. proposition. Regr g/d With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. ineffective conditioner. coming off a layoff. Can help identify horses that may improve. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! The Accuracy Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack Lst Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Fame, Betting etc..). Many angles (I.e.) SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Required fields are marked *. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Reading The Ratings A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Cards, Search the races where the favorite is going to get beat. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. class today should be tossed out. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Travellers, In Form Trainer A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. -. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and 100.00%. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Stats, Tipping Hall of For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. I used to call it the second drop. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Fame, Betting today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Figures from flat turf and all weather. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Your email address will not be published. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Unsound ones with problems do not. 8. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Its a great question. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Days Stats, One Ride Eclipse Sportswire. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Stl% Please email me with any questions at cv. TrForm I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard.

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