House Congressional candidate Denton Knapp uses his hands while talks to the media after the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. Embattled Rep. Liz Cheney's position on charges President Donald Trump played a role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot has not turned around her negative ratings back home in Wyoming, and now she's on the verge of losing her reelection. Redistricting will also be a factor since Pennsylvania is one of seven states that will lose a congressional seat, and the resulting impact is expected to have implications for Democrats more so than Republicans. Harriet Hageman, Robyn Belinskey, Liz Cheney, Anthony Bouchard and Denton Knapp, the candidates for Wyoming's U.S. House of Representatives seat, gather at the first official debate of the campaign season on Thursday at Sheridan College. Just over half of all primary voters have a favorable opinion of Hageman, the poll shows. Profit from the additional features of your individual account. Metaverse Tokens Social Media Sentiment Live. Entry: Global Warming Lorem Ipsum Dolor Sit where Republicans outnumber independents by more than 5 to 1. World Elects on Twitter: #USA, 2024 presidential election poll:Scenario: Liz Cheney runs as an independent.Trump (R): 41 %Biden (D): 38 %Cheney (I): 12 %Echelon Insights, 22/08/22 pic.twitter.com/olQ1MgH1MD / Twitter, CALL TO ACTIVISM on Twitter: BREAKING: Liz Cheney SLAMS Ted Cruz for lacking principle, calling him a chameleon who will say anything, anytime.RT if you agree with Liz Cheney! Theres former congressional candidate and close friend of Donald Trump Jr., Sean Parnell, who announced his candidacy earlier this week. But Liz Cheney stood her ground. That has resulted in approval ratings that generally operate within a very narrow range. ICP Price Prediction 2023-30: Will ICP Reach $10,000? Many representatives, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), who lobbied for Stefanik ahead of this mornings vote, believe that removing a staunch Trump critic from her leadership role was the only way forward if Republicans hope to take the majority in the 2022 midterms. The likely outcome could push Rep. Conor Lamb (D-PA) to run for statewide office, making him a likely favorite in the Democratic primary. Every candidate got ninety seconds to respond and twenty second during the lightning round. She's fighting Donald Trump. You only have access to basic statistics. Stay up-to-date on the latest in local and national government and political topics with our newsletter. Thats a foregone conclusion.. More than a year out from the midterm elections, its impossible to know for sure how to make 2022 election predictions or even 2024 presidential election predictions based on Biden approval rating rcp. They have been eager to embrace her when she speaks out against the flagrant falsehoods perpetrated by members of her own party; now its time they take steps to ensure she continues to have a platform to do so. But not every Democratic senator is on board with President Joe Bidens agenda and spending priorities, which means they need to expand their numbers to have a better chance of getting anything passed. Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Both polls were funded by Hageman-backed groups. More importantly, she has become the most powerful voice on the Jan. 6 committee investigating the attack on our democracy and the Democratic leadership in the House knows it. Once a politician gets to a certain point, theres a point of no return, Coker said. Biden and Harris have so far seemed to show a close partnership, with Harris providing a. in both polling and fundraising. Her loss scored outsize attention for a House primary: 35% of voters, including similar shares of Democrats and Republicans, said theyd seen, read or heard a lot about it, similar to the share who said the same about President Joe Bidens signing of the Inflation Reduction Act into law. Chris Sununu hasnt yet announced his candidacy as a 2022 Senate challenger to incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan (D), but according to new polling if he was to run the two would start the race in a dead heat. Rep. Liz Cheney shakes hands with fellow candidate Robyn Belinskey after the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. Tom Wolf / Flickr / CC BY 2.0. If reelected, Cheney wont be a vote for the Democrats agenda in the next Congress. In polling data provided to Secrets, just 23% of regular primary Republicans plan to vote for her, 77% said they . That said, the scenario is highly speculative and should be read with caution. Conflux Price Prediction 2023-30: Will CFX reach $100? gives a concession speech to supporters following her Aug. 16 defeat to Harriet Hageman, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump. Trump's Save America PAC polling in January similarly found just 13% support Cheney regardless of who . CHEYENNE, Wyo. In a newUniversity of New Hampshire Survey Center poll, Sununu garnering 45% support among likely voters to Hassans 42%, with 6% preferring another candidate and 6% undecided. Harriet Hageman, a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, responds to one of the questions during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. Voting intention for 2022 presidential elections in Brazil, by religion, Number of fake statements by Brazilian president Bolsonaro 2019-2022, by month, Share of votes cast in 1st round of 2022 presidential elections Brazil, by candidate, Voting intention for 2022 presidential elections in Brazil, by family income. Nonetheless, Cheney did the principled if politically dangerous thing by voting to impeach Trump for his role in the Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol. This race is more about Liz Cheney than it is about Donald Trump, Coker said. She has six challengers so far, which, in a state that requires the nominee to secure only a plurality of the vote, could save her. I just cant believe it, she said. The congresswomans critics say shes too distracted by her service on the House Jan. 6 committee and her battles with Trump to properly serve the state, and the poll found 54% of voters were less likely to support her because shes part of the panel investigating the attack on the Capitol. But the Wyoming Republican Party has turned on Cheney, censuring her soon after Trumps impeachment and voting last fall to no longer recognize her as a member of the GOP. Right now should be an easy time for the party out of power to unify in opposition, but Republican leaders and potential, We can look to Virginias Republican nominating convention last weekend for a look at how this dynamic could play out over and over again between now and the, Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. The hope is that it will take some of the heat off members being constantly pressed about their position on the Jan. 6 riot and Trumps actions surrounding the election. Hageman has put out mailers, but has focused on her ground game, often appearing at local events and holding town halls. Liz Cheney is the best hope for the Republican Party to move beyond Donald Trump. Two-thirds disapproved, with 7% saying they were not sure. What Bidens falling ratings mean for 2022 midterms. Just 14% in that poll say they will support Cheney's reelection, while another 31% would weigh who the candidate is. While only 15. But that past support no longer matters. 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Voter Registration as of October 31, 2021. Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. Hes one of five Republican senators who have announced they wont be running in the 2022 midterms. YouGov. to incorporate the statistic into your presentation at any time. With so many federal and state elections happening in the. In California, recalling a governor takes a simple majority of the vote, but only a plurality of votes for a replacement candidate to win. John Fetterman at the press conference with Gov. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. There was a problem saving your notification. "Favorability of Congresswoman Liz Cheney among U.S. Social Media Sentiment Trends: Ethereum vs Cardano vs Solana, Can Solana Reach $5000, $10000? Travis Van Hecke, a Casper City Council candidate, thinks its time for someone different, adding that he wouldve voted for almost anyone who ran against Cheney. October 19, 2022. 70% of registered voters in Wyoming are Republicans. / Twitter, The Recount on Twitter: Rep. Bitgert Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030, Will SSV Token reach $1000? In a distant third is Kenyatta with 6, followed closely by Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D-PA) with 5. Her favorability rating is lower among independents than Trumps (33%). There are no 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls on the Democratic Primary simply because there is no activity on the Democratic Side regarding this house seat. A light shows the panelists and candidates how much time they have left to respond to a question during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. You can only download this statistic as a Premium user. The Newsom recall election is laying bare just how difficult it may be for the party to motivate its base without Trump as a foil heading into the, Even if Newsom is successful, as is expected, the competitiveness of the contest on, Its not just California. Among the 232 votes in the House of Representatives to impeach Donald Trump a second time were 10 cast by Republicans -- and now the GOP has a messy church fight on its hands. The poll, which provides perhaps the starkest illustration yet of the political peril Cheney faces this year, shows Wyoming attorney Harriet Hageman garnering 56 percent of the vote to Cheney's. By Mark Leibovich Chip Somodevilla / Getty August 12,. In other words, wisdom of the forecasting elite. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. Biden and Harris have so far seemed to show a close partnership, with Harris providing aboost in both polling and fundraising. Ron DeSantis is resting at 16%, down from a 22% high set in June. In Pennsylvania, aRepublican primary to replace the retiring Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA)is already heating up, with candidates competing to tie themselves to Trump for an eventual endorsement. If she does decide to run in 2024, the survey shows meager appetite among Republican voters, but likely enough support to get her on a debate stage if the GOP uses metrics for qualification as it did in the 2016 nomination contest. "And the claims that Ms. Hageman is making about the 2020 election are the same claims for which the president's lead lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, was disbarred.". The latest University of Wyoming survey has reported that only 8% of Likely GOP Primary voters are Democrats. RCP Average & ResultFinal Electoral The Casper Star-Tribune is planning a series of stories tied to its recent poll of likely voters in Wyoming's Republican primary. In a special election in May in a Texas House District Trump carried by just 3% in 2020, the top Democratic candidate failed in a low-turnout contest to even advance from the all-party primary. Business Solutions including all features. Lastly, ever since Trump endorsed early, clearing the field and reducing the chance that the anti-Cheney vote gets divided. For example, a few months into Bidens presidency he was captured tripping while walking up the stairs of his airplane, followed by rumors that avoiding walking in front of the press meant hemayhave trouble walking. Chris Cillizza, CNN June 15, 2022 Scott Applewhite) South Carolina Rep. Tom Rice, who, like Cheney, was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump in the wake of the January 6,. Running as an independent, she would need most of those Democratic votes and then some. In total, the at-large Wyoming congresswoman suffers a net-negative 36 percent favorability rating - a stark contrast to Trump's in the state with a net-positive of 60 percent. Many of Liz Cheneys supporters and donors can be considered to belong to the Republican Establishment, Never-Trumper, and moderate wings of the party. Philip Tetlock of the University of Pennsylvania, author of Expert Political Judgement, found that the people who can predict the future best have a reasonable level of intelligence, search for information, change their minds when the evidence changes and think of possibilities rather than certainties. So, while the 2024 presidential election may not be impacted by Bidens approval rating today, there are serious implications for the Democratic Party in the 2022 midterm election and will change election predictions down the ticket. And the question is whether youre on board with democracy or not, said Jane Ifland, a two-time Democratic candidate for statehouse and a pro-abortion activist whos lived in Casper since 1980. Linda Chavez served in the Reagan White House and writes frequently on race, ethnicity and immigration. The big story is Liz Cheney is going to get beat, said Coker. BREAKING: Liz Cheney SLAMS Ted Cruz for lacking principle, calling him a chameleon who will say anything, anytime.RT if you agree with Liz Cheney! Republican U.S. Congresswoman Liz Cheney of Wyoming says former President Donald Trump is a domestic threat, the likes of which the United States has never faced before. Since 1968, no Democrat has crossed 40% of the total vote share. Small business owner Robyn Belinskey and retired army colonel Denton Knapp each polled at 1%. Use Ask Statista Research Service. Cheney and Hageman are the highest-profile candidates in the race, but there are others. Harris was also a Democratic primary candidate herselfin 2020, so people know she wants the job. She was born and raised on a family ranch outside of Fort Laramie and attended the University of Wyoming for undergraduate and law school. Sixty-six percent view her "very unfavorably." The poll also asked respondents whom they would vote for in the August 16 primary. Liz Cheney, Wyoming's U.S. House Representative, directs her response to the mediators during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. 70% of registered voters in Wyoming are Republicans If Democrats and Independents back Cheney in November, Cheney will need to win about 30% of the Republican vote to win the General election which is not impossible. The best way to improve your accuracy is by reducing bias and noise, and increasing the information you take in. The latest Morning Consult/Politico survey was conducted Aug. 19-21, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,005 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. Republican U.S. Rep. Liz Cheney is paying a price for supporting former President Trump's impeachment, a poll commissioned by Trump's political operation suggests, according to a report. Market Pulse:As of now,Democrats are strongly favored to gain control of Pennsylvanias open Senate seatnext year with a 20 advantage. Some 44% of Republicans said they are more . (Alex Wong/Getty Images), 2 in 3 Republicans Views Liz Cheney Negatively. Betting markets in Europe andones like PredictItin the US show Vice President Kamala Harris winning the 2024USpresidential election over both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump,who is expected to be the Republican nominee if he decides to run). Two of the other oldest senators,Sen.Chuck Grassley (R-IA) who isalso87, andSen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT)whois81, are also rumored to be considering retirement. Algorand Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will Algorand hit $100? For Cheney specifically, you can see this is in the CES polls of Wyoming voters taken in late 2020 and then late 2021. Cheney critics complain that she rarely visits, with many of them calling her a RINO (Republican in name only) as they air their grievances. Then you can access your favorite statistics via the star in the header. Betting Market: 97 Cents on the Dollar Harriet Hageman Defeats Liz Cheney Tuesday, Ron Filipkowski on Twitter: I have absolutely no doubt in my mind that if you told Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger 20 months ago that serving on the J6 Committee and voting to impeach Trump would cost them their seats in Congress, they would do it again without hesitation or regret. Many Democrats and independents plan to take advantage of Wyomings same-day voter registration and party-affiliation changes to vote for Cheney. Blur Crypto Price Prediction 2023-30: Will Blur Token reach $100? Cheney has a 53% job approval rating with Democrats who planned to vote in the Republican primary, the . Please subscribe to keep reading. Independent voters are far more likely to view Cheney unfavorably (42%) than favorably (27%). But there is another route if she fails, albeit one that requires Democrats to put country before party. Gen. Donald Bolduc, the only Republican who has formally declared his candidacy, has climbed to within 5% of Hassan 42% to 47% for Hassan. Still unknown is how Bidens approval ratings will move over the next year. The last time the state elected a Democrat to this seat was in 1976. Show publisher information This is a concern Republicans are facing as they attempt to challenge Democratic-held Senate seats in Arizona and Georgia, as well as hold onto Pennsylvania. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. Get full access to all features within our Business Solutions. Check out the latest Alaska Senate Race Lisa Murkowski Poll here. Volt Inu Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will Volt Inu reach 1 cent? Nationwide, 66% of Republican voters hold unfavorable views of Cheney, up from 58% in a survey conducted before her loss last week to Harriet Hageman, while 14% view her favorably. Liz Cheney is certain to lose the primary and is unlikely to win more than 35% of the vote. Is it too late for the governor to mobilize enough support to bring the odds back in his favor? Among Democrats, President Bidens approval rating has fallen from 90% to 87% and from 16% to 11% with Republicans. Trumps former ambassador to Denmark, Carla Sands, who is considering a run, and former lieutenant governor candidate Jeff Bartos, who is a Trump supporter and was the first top-tier candidate to enter the race. An NBC News poll taken at the end of Biden's first 100 days in office found that the ex-President's approval rating may be easing among GOP voters. What would a Liz Cheney run for president look like? Without citing a source, Trump claimed Cheney has an approval rating of 16%. Denton Knapp, a candidate for Wyoming's U.S. House of Representatives seat, notes from first official debate of the campaign season sit on his podium after the debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. In past elections, Cheney has handily beat her primary opponent. Wyoming Republican primary candidate Harriet Hageman is leading incumbent Liz Cheney by nearly 30 points in the primary race for Wyoming's lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, according to a new survey by the University of Wyoming's Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center (WYSAC). But for the good of the country, a two-party system defined by political ideology and substantive issues not disruptive personalities is the best chance of preserving American democracy. Safemoon Price Prediction 2023, 2025 and 2030: Will SafeMoon Reach 1 Cent? Ironically, Trumps absence from public office could be what takes Newsom out. Liz Cheney's team checks the live coverage of the debate while in the audience on Thursday at Sheridan College. Many of those interviewed, including Hladik and Van Hecke, voted for the congresswoman in the past, including as recently as 2020. During that time, How age-related factors will play into the. Liz Cheney Faces Big Trouble in Wyoming Chilton Williamson Jr., The Spectator World September 17, 2021 (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) Liz Cheney is not Wyoming and never has been, even when it. You can translate your new knowledge on the Granite State 2022 senate race into real money on the political betting website, PredictIt. "And the claims that Ms. Hageman is making about the 2020 election are the same claims for which the president's lead lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, was disbarred. Conversely, Cheney's favorability rating has dropped from -40 percent to -47 percent. Republican voters approve of their party's sacking of Liz Cheney . Voters also called her a carpetbagger, an insult shes been hit with since she moved to the state in 2012, a year before her unsuccessful bid for U.S. Senate. (renews at {{format_dollars}}{{start_price}}{{format_cents}}/month + tax). There are other ongoing factors that may have also contributed to this shift in numbers, such as the economy and pandemic recovery, but it remains to be seen what, if any, impact it will all have on 2022 election predictions and beyond. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Industry and market insights and forecasts, Key figures and rankings about companies and products, Consumer and brand insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about countries and regions, Market forecast and expert KPIs for 600+ segments in 150+ countries, Insights on consumer attitudes and behavior worldwide, Business information on 60m+ public and private companies, Detailed information for 35,000+ online stores and marketplaces. Cheney has a better chance of winning the election in November than in the Primary election two weeks from now. Liz Cheney, Wyoming's U.S. House Representative, says, "The truth matters," Cheney said multiple times. if you remember to recognize and ignore your biases to the best extent possible and to make sure youre well informed. Directly accessible data for 170 industries from 50 countries and over 1 million facts: Get quick analyses with our professional research service. Senator from Louisiana (2015 Present), Jeff Flake, former U.S. Popular Vote. Notably, weve seen a plunge in the strong support for Biden among Democrats. You need at least a Starter Account to use this feature. Delegate CountFinal Hageman has a commanding lead over incumbent Rep. Liz Cheney, a new poll shows. Unlike casino games, Political prediction markets are based on data and are highly correlated to political science and data. Former President Donald Trump endorsed State Superintendent of Public Instruction Brian Schroeder in his bid for election to the post. "The truth matters," Cheney said multiple times. President Joe Bidens approval rating has dropped to 48%, the lowest its been during his term so far. You have permission to edit this article. Ninety-nine point nine percent pure RINO.. Obama Job Approval Congressional Job Approval . Supporters of House Congressional candidate Harriet Hageman gather outside of the first big debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. There are other polls that put Bidens net approval rating closer to 49% or as low as 41% in the Afghanistan aftermath. Just 4% of Republicans said they would support Cheney in a hypothetical 2024 contest, her best showing in 10 Morning Consult/Politico surveys asking the question since May 2021. With a 50-50 split in the Senate, every race in the 2022 midterm elections means the difference between which party will control the upper chamber of Congress and makes for interesting, Democrats currently have de-facto control, with 50 Senators who caucus with the Democrats and the tie-breaking power of Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris. Chris Sununu hasnt yet announced his candidacy as a 2022 Senate challenger to incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan (D), but according to new polling if he was to run the two would start the race in a dead heat. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. Her willingness to stand up to the insults, threats, and shunning the Trump wing of the GOP has used to drive the three-term congresswoman out of office makes her a symbol of courage and true patriotism. Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 3, 2023 In a survey of U.S. adults conducted in October 2022, 27 percent of respondents held a very unfavorable opinion of Congresswoman Liz. August 11, 2022. [Online]. Many crossover voters who intend to support Cheney cite her resolve in fighting back against Trumps attempts to undermine the results of the 2020 presidential election. Independents gave Biden an approval rating of 41%, a two-point drop from a few weeks prior. ", Nebraska cheerleader competes by herself at state competition, but crowd doesn't let her feel alone, Crews contend with tons of snow as they work to reopen I-80, Powell sisters die in crash with semi-truck, Long shifts, odd calls, brutal weather: inside the Wyoming Highway Patrol staffing shortage, Ex-Casper doctor imprisoned for sexually assaulting patients released years early, Lovell steps up after local sportswriter dies from car crash injuries. Favorability of Congresswoman Liz Cheney among U.S. adults, as of October 2022 [Graph]. New Hampshire Gov. Statista. Therefore, the probability of Cheney winning 30% of the Republican vote and a large proportion of the Democratic party and Independent vote is much higher than her winning more than 35% of the vote in the Primary. Still, polls show that support for Elder is around 20% by far the highest polling alternative in the race. Rep. Liz Cheney speaks during a GOP House debate on June 30 at Sheridan College. statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account. Values may not total 100% due to rounding. The results are in line with prior polling from July showing Sununu ahead of Hassan, 49% to 48%. Maybe Democrats don't want to see that happen they've done reasonably well in the last two national elections. President Biden says that he plans to run for re-election in 2024, but this farout fromcandidate announcements and primary races, people on political bettingmarketsare willing to play to small market swings. Ms Cheney's score, by comparison, is 0.52. As soon as this statistic is updated, you will immediately be notified via e-mail. Notably, weve seen a plunge in the strong support for Biden among Democrats. "Favorability of Congresswoman Liz Cheney among U.S. adults, as of October 2022." Harriet Hageman, Robyn Belinskey, Liz Cheney, Anthony Bouchard and Denton Knapp, the candidates for Wyoming's U.S. House of Representatives seat, talks to a mostly empty auditorium at the first official debate of the campaign season on Thursday at Sheridan College. She also frequently touts her history of fighting the federal government in court. Her approval rating among independents who plan to vote Republican in August is 29%. Original question: 'Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following people? Cheney sported a 72% disapproval rating in the late 2021 edition of the survey, which was fielded about 10 months after she voted to impeach Trump. Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), conceding defeat:2 years ago, I won this primary with 73% of the vote. But not every Democratic senator is on board with President Joe Bidens agenda and spending priorities, which means they need to expand their numbers to have a better chance of getting anything passed. Harriet Hageman waves to supporters on Tuesday during the Central Wyoming Fair and Rodeo parade in downtown Casper. The Ballotpedia Power Index (BPI) estimates that the Newsom recall odds are at 27%, while the odds of him being retained are 73%. The anti-Cheney crowd supports moving the party leadership firmly in support of former President Donald Trump while pivoting attention away from the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol and toward becoming a united front against President Joe Bidens agenda. Support for a presidential bid by Florida Gov. Obama Job ApprovalCongressional Job ApprovalDirection of CountryLatest State of Union Polls, Republican National Polls GOP Iowa Caucus GOP New Hampshire PrimaryGOP South Carolina Primary Generic: Obama vs. GOP Obama vs. Republican Field Generic Congressional Ballot All Latest Election 2012 Polls, Senate: Ratings, Changes Final Senate Results House: Ratings, Changes Final House Results Governor: Ratings, Changes Final Governor Results, General ElectionFinal This is simple on its face, but complicated when you take into account all of the different factors that go into a multi-faceted decision like making 2022 midterm election predictions. Democrats turned out in record numbers when they had Trump to vote against, , but the California recall is one of the first, large-scale tests of voter enthusiasm in the post-Trump era. The BPI is an election forecasting tool that factors in polling averages from RealClearPolitics and share prices on political betting site PredictIt to project the overall chances of an outcome occurring in an election. As of Aug. 20, the BPI gives Newsom recall odds a 40% chance. Wyoming's historic House race is motivating Democrats and independents to vote Republican like never before, Six in 10 Wyoming Republicans are less likely to vote for Cheney due to her Jan. 6 work. And the last time the seat witnessed a competitive election was in 2006. Tom Wolf. Liz Cheney is the best hope for the Republican Party to move beyond Donald Trump. Democrats currently have de-facto control, with 50 Senators who caucus with the Democrats and the tie-breaking power of Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris. Fetterman, the current front-runner has come under fire from state party leaders who argue he doesnt represent the partys diversity. If Democrats run a candidate against Cheney, they will probably siphon enough votes to block her victory as an independent but unlikely to win outright. Among registered GOP voters, the number is higher at 57%. One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 53.6 percent and a disapproval .

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